Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Tigers DREX @ TOW

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

9-10  |  Road

58
FINAL
Mon, Jan 19 • 1:00 PM ET
SECU Arena
View Odds Details →

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

10-9  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
DRAGONS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Drexel)
DragonsDREX (-3.5) 0 TigersTOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

98.9%

Tigers Cover

1.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DREX -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)

DREX By 1-7 points

4.8%

DREX By 8-14 points

13.7%

TOW By 1-7 points

0.8%

TOW By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
90
DREXEL
67
TOWSON
Simulated Score
66
DREXEL
69
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dragons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dragons (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o125.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u125.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 TOW @ DREX 62 - 68
Jan 19, 2026 DREX @ TOW 58 - 59
Mar 9, 2025 DREX @ TOW 76 - 82
Feb 1, 2025 DREX @ TOW 54 - 55
Jan 11, 2025 TOW @ DREX 93 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.7% more
Drexel: 4.3 vs Towson: 2.5
Assists (L5) +36.6% more
Drexel: 15.4 vs Towson: 9.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.2%
Drexel: 43.8% vs Towson: 28.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Drexel: 45.3% vs Towson: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DREX Score 90.0 58
TOW Score 67.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 43.8 25.0 / 33.0
Assists 9.8 / 15.4 6.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.5 / 4.3 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.9 / 45.3 33.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 77.3 / 61.2 71.0 / 25.0
Rebounding 39.4 / 35.4 42.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.3 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 13.2 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
TOW Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
DREX
TOW
DREX
ML
66% 21-11
58% 19-14
62% 20-12
81% 26-6
ATS
66% 21-11
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
81% 26-6
TTL
53% 17-15
48% 16-17
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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