BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
26-16-5 | Road
1
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
30-15-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.08 | 0.931 | -- |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 1.01 | 0.944 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.08
GAA
Ldr 1.01
0.931
Save %
Ldr 0.944
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
HURRICANES
0%
SABRES
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
BUF By 1 goal
0.9%
BUF By 2-3 goals
0.3%
CAR By 1 goal
6.6%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
1
BUFFALO
Carolina
5
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Sabres (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
BUF @ CAR
1 - 2
Nov 23, 2025
CAR @ BUF
1 - 4
Nov 8, 2025
BUF @ CAR
3 - 6
Apr 8, 2025
CAR @ BUF
0 - 3
Feb 27, 2025
BUF @ CAR
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+69.7% more
Carolina: 7.7
vs
Buffalo: 4.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+43.3% more
Carolina: 34.1
vs
Buffalo: 23.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.7%
Carolina: 54.1%
vs
Buffalo: 45.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.5% more
Buffalo: 13.3
vs
Carolina: 10.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
1.0
1
CAR Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.4 / 13.3
6.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
54.1 / 45.5
54.2 / 45.8
Hits
21.4 / 20.7
23.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
24.2 / 26.7
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
34.1 / 23.8
28.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
7.7 / 4.5
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
BUF
CAR
BUF
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-5
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Semyon Varlamov Returns to Islanders Net After 676 Days and Two …
Alex Ovechkin to Retire After 2026-27 Season, Ending 22-Year Cap…