PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
22-14-11 | Road
6
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
21-17-9 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 5.16 | 0.839 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
5.16
--
Save %
0.839
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
KRAKEN
100%
PENGUINS
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SEA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
SEA By 1 goal
12.1%
SEA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kraken
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kraken (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Kraken (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
PIT @ SEA
6 - 3
Nov 22, 2025
SEA @ PIT
3 - 2
Jan 25, 2025
PIT @ SEA
1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
SEA @ PIT
4 - 2
Feb 29, 2024
PIT @ SEA
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.5% more
Pittsburgh: 30.1
vs
Seattle: 23.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.6%
Pittsburgh: 54.1%
vs
Seattle: 47.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.0% more
Seattle: 16.4
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.8
Power Play % (L5)
+2.8%
Seattle: 23.3%
vs
Pittsburgh: 20.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.0
6
SEA Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 14.8
16.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
47.5 / 54.1
45.3 / 54.7
Hits
17.8 / 16.7
20.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
23.3 / 20.4
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.0 / 30.1
23.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 5.0
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
PIT
SEA
PIT
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
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