AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
PHOENIX
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Oakland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OAK -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)
OAK By 1-7 points
6.8%
OAK By 8-14 points
16.9%
GB By 1-7 points
1.4%
GB By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Oakland
92
OAKLAND
Green Bay
71
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Oakland
74
OAKLAND
Green Bay
70
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Grizzlies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Grizzlies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Grizzlies (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Golden Grizzlies (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
GB @ OAK
73 - 68
Jan 18, 2026
OAK @ GB
88 - 63
Mar 4, 2025
GB @ OAK
72 - 96
Mar 1, 2025
OAK @ GB
87 - 84
Jan 30, 2025
GB @ OAK
54 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+66.9% more
Oakland: 8.6
vs
Green Bay: 2.9
Blocks (L5)
+50.9% more
Oakland: 4.8
vs
Green Bay: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+13.2% more
Oakland: 36.7
vs
Green Bay: 31.8
Turnovers (L5)
+9.7% more
Oakland: 11.2
vs
Green Bay: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OAK Score
92.0
88
GB Score
71.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.4 / 30.2
21.0 / 40.0
Assists
16.3 / 14.3
18.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.8
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
55.1 / 45.5
43.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 79.1
86.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 36.7
24.0 / 42.0
Steals
2.9 / 8.6
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.2
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.0
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
OAK
GB
OAK
ML
48%
16-17
62%
20-12
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
ATS
52%
17-16
50%
16-16
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
TTL
58%
19-14
62%
20-12
100%
33-0
100%
32-0