OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

10-9  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sun, Jan 18 • 2:00 PM ET
Resch Center
View Odds Details →

GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

11-8  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
PHOENIX
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
PHOENIX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Oakland)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 PhoenixGB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

98.2%

Phoenix Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OAK -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

OAK By 1-7 points

6.8%

OAK By 8-14 points

16.9%

GB By 1-7 points

1.4%

GB By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
92
OAKLAND
71
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
74
OAKLAND
70
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 20, 2026 GB @ OAK 73 - 68
Jan 18, 2026 OAK @ GB 88 - 63
Mar 4, 2025 GB @ OAK 72 - 96
Mar 1, 2025 OAK @ GB 87 - 84
Jan 30, 2025 GB @ OAK 54 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +66.9% more
Oakland: 8.6 vs Green Bay: 2.9
Blocks (L5) +50.9% more
Oakland: 4.8 vs Green Bay: 2.4
Rebounding (L5) +13.2% more
Oakland: 36.7 vs Green Bay: 31.8
Turnovers (L5) +9.7% more
Oakland: 11.2 vs Green Bay: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 92.0 88
GB Score 71.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.4 / 30.2 21.0 / 40.0
Assists 16.3 / 14.3 18.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.4 / 4.8 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 55.1 / 45.5 43.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 78.0 / 79.1 86.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 36.7 24.0 / 42.0
Steals 2.9 / 8.6 2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 11.2 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
GB Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1