FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
12-6 | Road
79
TEMPLE
OWLSTEM
11-6 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
OWLS
100%
OWLS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
FAU By 1-7 points
26.8%
FAU By 8-14 points
24.3%
TEM By 1-7 points
16.9%
TEM By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
61
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Temple
55
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
78
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Temple
65
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Owls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
TEM @ FAU
59 - 63
Feb 26, 2026
TEM @ FAU
73 - 77
Jan 18, 2026
FAU @ TEM
79 - 73
Feb 16, 2025
FAU @ TEM
83 - 81
Mar 16, 2024
TEM @ FAU
74 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.9% more
Florida Atlantic: 15.8
vs
Temple: 11.9
Turnovers (L5)
+19.6% more
Florida Atlantic: 13.5
vs
Temple: 10.8
Blocks (L5)
+19.0% more
Florida Atlantic: 7.2
vs
Temple: 5.9
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Florida Atlantic: 41.2
vs
Temple: 36.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
61.0
79
TEM Score
55.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.2 / 31.7
27.0 / 16.0
Assists
11.9 / 15.8
7.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.9 / 7.2
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 50.2
37.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 68.9
78.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 41.2
41.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.8
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 13.5
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
TEM
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
FAU
TEM
FAU
ML
62%
20-12
64%
21-12
67%
20-10
66%
21-11
ATS
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
67%
20-10
66%
21-11
TTL
69%
22-10
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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