Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Tigers PV @ JKST

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PANTHERSPV

8-9  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 4:00 PM ET
Lee E. Williams Athletics and Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

3-13  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
PANTHERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
PanthersPV (-3.5) 0 TigersJKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

100.0%

Tigers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PV -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)

PV By 1-7 points

0.3%

PV By 8-14 points

1.7%

JKST By 1-7 points

0.0%

JKST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
98
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
63
JACKSON STATE
Simulated Score
62
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
66
JACKSON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-1) Loss
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 JKST @ PV 76 - 85
Jan 17, 2026 PV @ JKST 78 - 82
Mar 3, 2025 PV @ JKST 74 - 88
Jan 18, 2025 JKST @ PV 79 - 70
Mar 4, 2024 JKST @ PV 79 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.6% more
Prairie View A&M: 5.3 vs Jackson State: 3.1
Assists (L5) +10.2% more
Prairie View A&M: 13.5 vs Jackson State: 12.1
Steals (L5) +8.4% more
Prairie View A&M: 7.0 vs Jackson State: 6.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Prairie View A&M: 37.3% vs Jackson State: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PV Score 98.0 78
JKST Score 63.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 37.3 36.0 / 30.0
Assists 12.1 / 13.5 17.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.1 / 5.3 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 44.7 45.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 67.9 70.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 34.8 45.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.4 / 7.0 3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 11.0 17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
6%MONEY94%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV Advantage
19-18-0 (51.3%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV Advantage
22-10-0 (68.8%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -2.1
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JKST
PV
JKST
PV
ML
77% 24-7
59% 20-14
73% 19-7
68% 21-10
ATS
77% 24-7
56% 19-15
73% 19-7
68% 21-10
TTL
58% 18-13
50% 17-17
100% 26-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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