Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Highlanders LONG @ RAD

LONGWOOD

LANCERSLONG

10-9  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 2:30 PM ET
The Dedmon Center
View Odds Details →

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

10-9  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
0%
LANCERS --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Radford)
LancersLONG (-3.5) 0 HighlandersRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

15.9%

Highlanders Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

LONG By 1-7 points

10.7%

LONG By 8-14 points

3.3%

RAD By 1-7 points

23.0%

RAD By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
83
LONGWOOD
93
RADFORD
Simulated Score
68
LONGWOOD
72
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Highlanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Highlanders (-5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Highlanders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o157.0 Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim u157.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 RAD @ LONG 74 - 90
Jan 17, 2026 LONG @ RAD 83 - 85
Feb 8, 2025 RAD @ LONG 71 - 69
Jan 22, 2025 LONG @ RAD 77 - 74
Feb 24, 2024 LONG @ RAD 82 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +22.2% more
Radford: 3.3 vs Longwood: 2.7
Rebounding (L5) +9.9% more
Radford: 37.0 vs Longwood: 33.7
Steals (L5) +33.1% more
Longwood: 8.4 vs Radford: 5.6
Turnovers (L5) +23.4% more
Longwood: 12.2 vs Radford: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LONG Score 83.0 83
RAD Score 93.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 36.6 38.0 / 48.0
Assists 12.4 / 14.1 12.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.7 1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 46.8 53.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 74.8 65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 33.7 27.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.6 / 8.4 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 12.2 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LONG
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
RAD
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LONG
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
RAD Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.7
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
LONG
RAD
LONG
ML
77% 23-7
65% 20-11
76% 22-7
68% 21-10
ATS
63% 19-11
68% 21-10
77% 23-7
68% 21-10
TTL
67% 20-10
65% 20-11
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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