Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Raiders BUCK @ COLG

BUCKNELL

BISONBUCK

6-12  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 2:00 PM ET
Cotterell Court
View Odds Details →

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

10-8  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
BISON --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Colgate)
BisonBUCK (-3.5) 0 RaidersCOLG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

18.4%

Raiders Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)

BUCK By 1-7 points

12.2%

BUCK By 8-14 points

4.0%

COLG By 1-7 points

24.3%

COLG By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
71
BUCKNELL
80
COLGATE
Simulated Score
65
BUCKNELL
78
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 COLG @ BUCK 78 - 59
Jan 17, 2026 BUCK @ COLG 76 - 95
Jan 20, 2025 BUCK @ COLG 80 - 87
Jan 5, 2025 COLG @ BUCK 60 - 66
Mar 10, 2024 BUCK @ COLG 65 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.0% more
Colgate: 2.6 vs Bucknell: 2.1
Assists (L5) +12.9% more
Colgate: 15.8 vs Bucknell: 14.0
Rebounding (L5) +12.7% more
Colgate: 36.5 vs Bucknell: 32.4
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Colgate: 47.6% vs Bucknell: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score 71.0 76
COLG Score 80.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.2 / 36.8 44.0 / 23.0
Assists 15.8 / 14.0 23.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.1 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 43.3 57.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 75.3 / 78.2 68.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 32.4 36.0 / 24.0
Steals 4.4 / 7.3 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 14.2 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
COLG Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.3
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
BUCK
COLG
BUCK
ML
59% 19-13
55% 18-15
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
ATS
72% 23-9
45% 15-18
70% 23-10
64% 21-12
TTL
78% 25-7
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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