LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

SHARKSLIU

10-7  |  Road

66
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Bogota Savings Bank Center
View Odds Details →

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON

KNIGHTSFDU

5-12  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
SHARKS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
SharksLIU (-3.5) 0 KnightsFDU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

1.8%

Knights Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)

LIU By 1-7 points

1.4%

LIU By 8-14 points

0.2%

FDU By 1-7 points

6.8%

FDU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
43
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
64
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
70
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
80
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 FDU @ LIU 60 - 74
Jan 17, 2026 LIU @ FDU 66 - 59
Mar 1, 2025 LIU @ FDU 74 - 55
Feb 15, 2025 FDU @ LIU 58 - 62
Feb 15, 2024 FDU @ LIU 84 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +8.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 72.5% vs Long Island University: 64.6%
Blocks (L5) +73.3% more
Long Island University: 6.0 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.6
Assists (L5) +30.3% more
Long Island University: 15.0 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 10.5
Steals (L5) +25.3% more
Long Island University: 6.3 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIU Score 43.0 66
FDU Score 64.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.1 / 28.1 17.0 / 30.0
Assists 10.5 / 15.0 7.0 / 13.0
Blocks 1.6 / 6.0 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 37.9 / 44.5 36.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 72.5 / 64.6 58.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 40.9 33.0 / 40.0
Steals 4.7 / 6.3 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 14.8 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
FDU Advantage
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
FDU Advantage
10-18-1 (35.7%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0% Total +/-: -2.5