AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
KNIGHTS
0%
SHARKS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
LIU By 1-7 points
1.4%
LIU By 8-14 points
0.2%
FDU By 1-7 points
6.8%
FDU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
43
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Fairleigh Dickinson
64
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
Long Island University
70
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Fairleigh Dickinson
80
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knights (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
FDU @ LIU
60 - 74
Jan 17, 2026
LIU @ FDU
66 - 59
Mar 1, 2025
LIU @ FDU
74 - 55
Feb 15, 2025
FDU @ LIU
58 - 62
Feb 15, 2024
FDU @ LIU
84 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 72.5%
vs
Long Island University: 64.6%
Blocks (L5)
+73.3% more
Long Island University: 6.0
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+30.3% more
Long Island University: 15.0
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 10.5
Steals (L5)
+25.3% more
Long Island University: 6.3
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
43.0
66
FDU Score
64.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.1 / 28.1
17.0 / 30.0
Assists
10.5 / 15.0
7.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.6 / 6.0
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
37.9 / 44.5
36.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 64.6
58.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 40.9
33.0 / 40.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.3
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 14.8
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
FDU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
FDU
Advantage
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
LIU
FDU
LIU
ML
65%
20-11
60%
21-14
74%
23-8
69%
24-11
ATS
68%
21-10
63%
22-13
74%
23-8
69%
24-11
TTL
58%
18-13
60%
21-14
100%
31-0
100%
35-0