HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
8-10 | Road
55
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
4-14 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
0%
LEOPARDS
100%
CRUSADERS
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Holy Cross)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HC -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)
HC By 1-7 points
0.5%
HC By 8-14 points
2.7%
LAF By 1-7 points
0.0%
LAF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
80
HOLY CROSS
Lafayette
47
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Lafayette
72
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crusaders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leopards
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Crusaders (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Leopards (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
HC @ LAF
82 - 77
Feb 18, 2026
LAF @ HC
86 - 83
Jan 17, 2026
HC @ LAF
55 - 74
Mar 4, 2025
HC @ LAF
68 - 69
Feb 19, 2025
LAF @ HC
69 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.9% more
Holy Cross: 6.1
vs
Lafayette: 4.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.8%
Holy Cross: 78.6%
vs
Lafayette: 66.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Holy Cross: 46.6%
vs
Lafayette: 41.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Holy Cross: 35.7%
vs
Lafayette: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
80.0
55
LAF Score
47.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 35.7
35.0 / 25.0
Assists
14.4 / 10.8
17.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.3
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 46.6
41.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
66.7 / 78.6
63.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 30.3
45.0 / 31.0
Steals
4.6 / 6.1
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 9.3
5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
LAF
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
LAF
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
HC
LAF
HC
ML
53%
17-15
52%
16-15
59%
19-13
61%
19-12
ATS
56%
18-14
55%
17-14
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
TTL
50%
16-16
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
