Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Gamecocks LT @ JXST

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

10-7  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 5:00 PM ET
Pete Mathews Coliseum
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE STATE

GAMECOCKSJXST

8-9  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
GAMECOCKS
100%
BULLDOGS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
BulldogsLT (-3.5) 0 GamecocksJXST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

75.8%

Gamecocks Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

LT By 1-7 points

26.2%

LT By 8-14 points

25.3%

JXST By 1-7 points

15.3%

JXST By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
101
LOUISIANA TECH
94
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
72
LOUISIANA TECH
68
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o127.5 Loss
Proj Total: 195.0
D
Sim u127.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 JXST @ LT 71 - 77
Jan 17, 2026 LT @ JXST 60 - 64
Feb 15, 2025 JXST @ LT 70 - 68
Jan 16, 2025 LT @ JXST 61 - 63
Feb 15, 2024 JXST @ LT 58 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +21.4% more
Louisiana Tech: 4.2 vs Jacksonville State: 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +12.5% more
Louisiana Tech: 35.5 vs Jacksonville State: 31.1
Turnovers (L5) +24.8% more
Jacksonville State: 11.4 vs Louisiana Tech: 9.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.8%
Jacksonville State: 35.7% vs Louisiana Tech: 22.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 101.0 60
JXST Score 94.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 22.9 43.0 / 24.0
Assists 11.0 / 11.2 11.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.2 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 38.6 41.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 63.9 78.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 31.1 / 35.5 28.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.2 / 7.2 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 9.1 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
JXST
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
JXST
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
LT
JXST
LT
ML
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
55% 17-14
72% 23-9
ATS
62% 20-12
61% 20-13
55% 17-14
72% 23-9
TTL
62% 20-12
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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