COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
12-4 | Road
80
BROWN
BEARSBRWN
6-9 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
BEARS
100%
LIONS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
COLU By 1-7 points
27.2%
COLU By 8-14 points
23.0%
BRWN By 1-7 points
18.6%
BRWN By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbia
72
COLUMBIA
Brown
67
BROWN
Simulated Score
Columbia
66
COLUMBIA
Brown
75
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.0
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u142.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
BRWN @ COLU
62 - 80
Jan 17, 2026
COLU @ BRWN
80 - 86
Feb 21, 2025
COLU @ BRWN
61 - 86
Feb 8, 2025
BRWN @ COLU
72 - 74
Feb 23, 2024
BRWN @ COLU
66 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.9% more
Columbia: 13.8
vs
Brown: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.2%
Columbia: 79.2%
vs
Brown: 65.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Columbia: 48.0%
vs
Brown: 44.2%
Steals (L5)
+35.0% more
Brown: 8.2
vs
Columbia: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLU Score
72.0
80
BRWN Score
67.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 30.1
8.0 / 32.0
Assists
16.9 / 17.3
22.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.7
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 48.0
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 79.2
79.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 38.8
34.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.1
9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 13.8
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
COLU
BRWN
COLU
ML
56%
15-12
44%
12-15
67%
18-9
56%
15-12
ATS
59%
16-11
59%
16-11
67%
18-9
56%
15-12
TTL
59%
16-11
74%
20-7
100%
27-0
100%
27-0
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