ST. BONAVENTURE
BONNIESSBU
11-6 | Road
74
LA SALLE
EXPLORERSLAS
5-13 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
BONNIES
100%
EXPLORERS
0%
BONNIES
--
EXPLORERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (La Salle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)
SBU By 1-7 points
12.2%
SBU By 8-14 points
4.0%
LAS By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAS By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Bonaventure
57
ST. BONAVENTURE
La Salle
66
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
St. Bonaventure
74
ST. BONAVENTURE
La Salle
67
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Explorers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bonnies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Explorers (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bonnies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.0
Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u142.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
SBU @ LAS
99 - 80
Jan 17, 2026
SBU @ LAS
74 - 78
Jan 11, 2025
LAS @ SBU
83 - 82
Mar 13, 2024
LAS @ SBU
73 - 75
Feb 21, 2024
SBU @ LAS
59 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.0% more
La Salle: 7.5
vs
St. Bonaventure: 6.4
Blocks (L5)
+46.8% more
St. Bonaventure: 4.5
vs
La Salle: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+26.3% more
St. Bonaventure: 14.2
vs
La Salle: 10.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.4%
St. Bonaventure: 78.7%
vs
La Salle: 63.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SBU Score
57.0
74
LAS Score
66.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.9 / 36.7
57.0 / 37.0
Assists
10.4 / 14.2
19.0 / 23.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.5
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.6 / 43.8
58.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
63.3 / 78.7
100.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 35.3
27.0 / 23.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.4
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.2
17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SBU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
LAS
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SBU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
LAS
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
SBU
LAS
SBU
ML
69%
22-10
59%
20-14
69%
22-10
61%
20-13
ATS
78%
25-7
50%
17-17
69%
22-10
61%
20-13
TTL
66%
21-11
38%
13-21
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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