PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
6-11 | Road
80
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
8-8 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
CRIMSON
0%
TIGERS
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HARV -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
PRIN By 1-7 points
0.0%
PRIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
HARV By 1-7 points
0.2%
HARV By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
56
PRINCETON
Harvard
92
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Princeton
72
PRINCETON
Harvard
68
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crimson
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Crimson (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
HARV @ PRIN
58 - 56
Jan 17, 2026
PRIN @ HARV
80 - 87
Feb 21, 2025
HARV @ PRIN
71 - 76
Jan 11, 2025
PRIN @ HARV
68 - 64
Feb 23, 2024
PRIN @ HARV
66 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+52.2% more
Harvard: 8.8
vs
Princeton: 5.8
Assists (L5)
+16.4% more
Harvard: 14.1
vs
Princeton: 12.1
Blocks (L5)
+16.3% more
Harvard: 3.4
vs
Princeton: 2.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.1%
Harvard: 85.2%
vs
Princeton: 79.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
56.0
80
HARV Score
92.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 36.8
38.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.1 / 12.1
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.9
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 45.2
45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
85.2 / 79.1
83.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 32.2
36.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.8 / 5.8
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 10.9
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
HARV
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
PRIN
HARV
PRIN
ML
45%
13-16
45%
13-16
52%
15-14
62%
18-11
ATS
45%
13-16
48%
14-15
52%
15-14
62%
18-11
TTL
41%
12-17
72%
21-8
100%
29-0
100%
29-0
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