UTEP
MINERSUTEP
6-11 | Road
69
LIBERTY
FLAMESLIB
14-3 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
100%
FLAMES
0%
MINERS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Liberty)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIB -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
UTEP By 1-7 points
0.1%
UTEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
LIB By 1-7 points
0.6%
LIB By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UTEP
53
UTEP
Liberty
85
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
UTEP
65
UTEP
Liberty
78
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
LIB @ UTEP
73 - 64
Jan 17, 2026
UTEP @ LIB
69 - 80
Mar 12, 2025
UTEP @ LIB
60 - 81
Feb 15, 2025
LIB @ UTEP
76 - 69
Jan 16, 2025
UTEP @ LIB
72 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+46.9% more
Liberty: 17.1
vs
UTEP: 11.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.1%
Liberty: 51.9%
vs
UTEP: 40.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Liberty: 39.9%
vs
UTEP: 31.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.0%
Liberty: 76.2%
vs
UTEP: 71.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score
53.0
69
LIB Score
85.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 31.9
35.0 / 48.0
Assists
17.1 / 11.6
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.7
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.9 / 40.8
59.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 71.2
82.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
29.6 / 34.1
23.0 / 21.0
Steals
5.4 / 5.4
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 9.7
6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
LIB
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
UTEP
LIB
UTEP
ML
50%
17-17
70%
21-9
53%
18-16
72%
21-8
ATS
62%
21-13
57%
17-13
53%
18-16
73%
22-8
TTL
41%
14-20
60%
18-12
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
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