Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Hilltoppers KENN @ WKU

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

11-6  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 3:00 PM ET
E.A. Diddle Arena
View Odds Details →

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

11-6  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
📊
HILLTOPPERS
0%
OWLS --
HILLTOPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Western Kentucky)
OwlsKENN (-3.5) 0 HilltoppersWKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

34.5%

Hilltoppers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WKU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)

KENN By 1-7 points

20.1%

KENN By 8-14 points

9.3%

WKU By 1-7 points

27.4%

WKU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
89
KENNESAW STATE
93
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
73
KENNESAW STATE
78
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hilltoppers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers (+7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Hilltoppers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 KENN @ WKU 96 - 87
Jan 28, 2026 WKU @ KENN 69 - 72
Jan 17, 2026 KENN @ WKU 81 - 65
Feb 6, 2025 WKU @ KENN 69 - 76
Jan 11, 2025 KENN @ WKU 69 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +40.9% more
Western Kentucky: 8.5 vs Kennesaw State: 6.0
Free Throw % (L5) +3.1%
Western Kentucky: 74.2% vs Kennesaw State: 71.2%
Blocks (L5) +68.4% more
Kennesaw State: 7.5 vs Western Kentucky: 2.4
Turnovers (L5) +29.4% more
Kennesaw State: 12.5 vs Western Kentucky: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 89.0 81
WKU Score 93.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 37.7 30.0 / 37.0
Assists 12.9 / 16.2 9.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.4 / 7.5 2.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 43.4 29.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 71.2 65.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 39.1 40.0 / 49.0
Steals 8.5 / 6.0 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 12.5 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
97%MONEY3%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
WKU
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
WKU Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
KENN
WKU
KENN
ML
56% 18-14
74% 25-9
66% 21-11
72% 23-9
ATS
53% 17-15
71% 24-10
66% 21-11
73% 24-9
TTL
56% 18-14
56% 19-15
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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