Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Redhawks GONZ @ SEA

GONZAGA

BULLDOGSGONZ

18-1  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 10:00 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE U

REDHAWKSSEA

13-6  |  Home

50
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
REDHAWKS
0%
BULLDOGS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Seattle U)
BulldogsGONZ (-3.5) 0 RedhawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

Redhawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SEA -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

GONZ By 1-7 points

0.0%

GONZ By 8-14 points

0.0%

SEA By 1-7 points

0.1%

SEA By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
54
GONZAGA
92
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
65
GONZAGA
85
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Redhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Redhawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Redhawks (+12.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim Redhawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 GONZ @ SEA 71 - 50
Jan 2, 2026 SEA @ GONZ 72 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +55.0% more
Seattle U: 4.3 vs Gonzaga: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +11.7% more
Seattle U: 11.3 vs Gonzaga: 10.1
Steals (L5) +23.5% more
Gonzaga: 9.4 vs Seattle U: 7.2
Assists (L5) +20.2% more
Gonzaga: 18.0 vs Seattle U: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GONZ Score 54.0 71
SEA Score 92.0 50
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 36.9 24.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.3 / 18.0 11.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.8 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 53.1 36.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 65.8 64.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 41.2 24.0 / 44.0
Steals 7.2 / 9.4 8.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 10.1 18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GONZ Advantage
31-4-0 (88.6%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
SEA
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GONZ Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
SEA
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -5.0
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
GONZ
SEA
GONZ
ML
46% 16-19
71% 25-10
71% 24-10
69% 20-9
ATS
57% 20-15
69% 24-11
71% 24-10
69% 20-9
TTL
49% 17-18
57% 20-15
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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