CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
7-8 | Road
68
YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
12-3 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
BIG RED
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around YALE +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)
COR By 1-7 points
24.3%
COR By 8-14 points
26.8%
YALE By 1-7 points
12.2%
YALE By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
71
CORNELL
Yale
62
YALE
Simulated Score
Cornell
80
CORNELL
Yale
65
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Red
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Big Red (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u175.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u175.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
COR @ YALE
76 - 88
Feb 27, 2026
YALE @ COR
69 - 72
Jan 17, 2026
COR @ YALE
68 - 102
Mar 16, 2025
COR @ YALE
84 - 90
Feb 21, 2025
COR @ YALE
88 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+44.8% more
Cornell: 22.7
vs
Yale: 12.5
Blocks (L5)
+32.4% more
Cornell: 3.2
vs
Yale: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+15.3% more
Cornell: 11.6
vs
Yale: 9.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.9%
Cornell: 80.8%
vs
Yale: 66.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
71.0
68
YALE Score
62.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 37.2
48.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.5 / 22.7
22.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 47.0
61.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
66.9 / 80.8
67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 35.5
42.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.6 / 4.9
3.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 11.6
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
YALE
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
COR
YALE
COR
ML
48%
15-16
44%
12-15
58%
18-13
63%
17-10
ATS
65%
20-11
59%
16-11
58%
18-13
63%
17-10
TTL
61%
19-12
78%
21-6
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
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