Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Coyotes @ Fighting Hawks SDAK @ UND

SOUTH DAKOTA

COYOTESSDAK

10-9  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 2:00 PM ET
Betty Engelstad Sioux Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA

FIGHTING HAWKSUND

9-12  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
COYOTES
0%
📊
FIGHTING HAWKS
100%
COYOTES --
FIGHTING HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
SOUTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (South Dakota)
CoyotesSDAK (-3.5) 0 Fighting HawksUND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coyotes Cover

84.1%

Fighting Hawks Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SDAK -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDAK)

SDAK By 1-7 points

23.0%

SDAK By 8-14 points

27.2%

UND By 1-7 points

10.7%

UND By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
95
SOUTH DAKOTA
85
NORTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
70
SOUTH DAKOTA
72
NORTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Coyotes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Coyotes (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Fighting Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o160.5 Win
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 UND @ SDAK 72 - 71
Jan 17, 2026 SDAK @ UND 80 - 96
Mar 1, 2025 UND @ SDAK 79 - 92
Jan 23, 2025 SDAK @ UND 102 - 93
Mar 2, 2024 SDAK @ UND 66 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.2% more
South Dakota: 14.4 vs North Dakota: 9.6
Rebounding (L5) +12.0% more
South Dakota: 35.8 vs North Dakota: 31.5
Turnovers (L5) +10.5% more
South Dakota: 11.6 vs North Dakota: 10.4
Free Throw % (L5) +8.7%
South Dakota: 80.6% vs North Dakota: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SDAK Score 95.0 80
UND Score 85.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.5 / 40.4 46.0 / 45.0
Assists 9.6 / 14.4 13.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.5 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 48.9 55.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 80.6 57.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 35.8 36.0 / 28.0
Steals 8.6 / 5.5 10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 11.6 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
5%MONEY95%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
UND Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDAK
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
UND Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.1
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UND
SDAK
UND
SDAK
ML
44% 15-19
70% 21-9
50% 17-17
63% 19-11
ATS
50% 17-17
70% 21-9
50% 17-17
63% 19-11
TTL
65% 22-12
67% 20-10
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 6 hours, 42 minutes ago
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 13 hours, 25 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 19 hours, 33 minutes ago
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day ago
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
si 1 day ago