Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Pride ELON @ HOF

ELON

PHOENIXELON

11-7  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 12:00 PM ET
David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex
View Odds Details →

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

13-5  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
PRIDE
0%
PHOENIX --
PRIDE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Hofstra)
PhoenixELON (-3.5) 0 PrideHOF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

30.9%

Pride Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)

ELON By 1-7 points

18.6%

ELON By 8-14 points

8.0%

HOF By 1-7 points

27.2%

HOF By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
71
ELON
76
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
65
ELON
82
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pride Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pride Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pride (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Pride (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 ELON @ HOF 89 - 85
Jan 30, 2025 HOF @ ELON 74 - 63
Feb 24, 2024 ELON @ HOF 64 - 87
Jan 26, 2023 HOF @ ELON 82 - 65
Feb 24, 2022 ELON @ HOF 81 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +20.5%
Hofstra: 79.9% vs Elon: 59.4%
Rebounding (L5) +18.3% more
Hofstra: 40.0 vs Elon: 33.8
Blocks (L5) +13.9% more
Hofstra: 3.9 vs Elon: 3.4
Assists (L5) +32.9% more
Elon: 17.7 vs Hofstra: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ELON Score 71.0 89
HOF Score 76.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.7 / 41.8 43.0 / 41.0
Assists 11.9 / 17.7 14.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.9 / 3.4 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.7 / 49.4 47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 59.4 76.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 33.8 34.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.1 / 5.6 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 12.7 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
HOF Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.9
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
ELON
HOF
ELON
ML
77% 27-8
61% 19-12
71% 25-10
71% 22-9
ATS
83% 29-6
55% 17-14
71% 25-10
71% 22-9
TTL
51% 18-17
52% 16-15
100% 35-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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