RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
9-8 | Road
87
WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
12-5 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
BADGERS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Wisconsin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIS -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)
RUTG By 1-7 points
0.0%
RUTG By 8-14 points
0.0%
WIS By 1-7 points
0.3%
WIS By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
51
RUTGERS
Wisconsin
86
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
Rutgers
68
RUTGERS
Wisconsin
72
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Badgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Badgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Badgers (-15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim
Badgers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
RUTG @ WIS
87 - 96
Jan 6, 2025
WIS @ RUTG
75 - 63
Mar 7, 2024
RUTG @ WIS
66 - 78
Feb 10, 2024
WIS @ RUTG
56 - 78
Feb 18, 2023
RUTG @ WIS
58 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+39.9% more
Wisconsin: 15.3
vs
Rutgers: 11.0
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
Wisconsin: 8.9
vs
Rutgers: 8.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Wisconsin: 75.9%
vs
Rutgers: 66.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Wisconsin: 36.6%
vs
Rutgers: 29.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
51.0
87
WIS Score
86.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 29.7
40.0 / 40.0
Assists
15.3 / 11.0
20.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.9
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 39.6
48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 66.8
90.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 38.0
29.0 / 33.0
Steals
3.6 / 6.5
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 8.0
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
RUTG
WIS
RUTG
ML
60%
21-14
53%
18-16
69%
24-11
70%
23-10
ATS
51%
18-17
68%
23-11
69%
24-11
70%
23-10
TTL
57%
20-15
53%
18-16
100%
35-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
Indiana Hoosiers Fans Invade Rutgers Homecoming as Hoosiers Roll…
Rutgers Basketball Preseason: Standouts and Storylines from Tues…
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
Big Ten Road Warriors: Historic Saturday Shakes Up Conference Po…