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MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

15-2  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 2:15 PM ET
Littlejohn Coliseum
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

15-3  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
HURRICANES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Clemson)
HurricanesMIA (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

0.3%

Tigers Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLEM -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

MIA By 1-7 points

0.2%

MIA By 8-14 points

0.0%

CLEM By 1-7 points

1.7%

CLEM By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
56
MIAMI
84
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
71
MIAMI
75
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 MIA @ CLEM 59 - 69
Dec 7, 2024 CLEM @ MIA 65 - 55
Feb 14, 2024 MIA @ CLEM 60 - 77
Jan 3, 2024 CLEM @ MIA 82 - 95
Feb 4, 2023 MIA @ CLEM 78 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +19.7% more
Clemson: 2.3 vs Miami: 1.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
Clemson: 34.3% vs Miami: 30.1%
Steals (L5) +25.1% more
Miami: 10.0 vs Clemson: 7.5
Assists (L5) +20.2% more
Miami: 14.7 vs Clemson: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIA Score 56.0 59
CLEM Score 84.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 30.1 47.0 / 25.0
Assists 11.7 / 14.7 13.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.3 / 1.9 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 50.9 53.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 73.8 70.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 32.6 / 34.1 28.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.5 / 10.0 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 9.6 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
CLEM
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
MIA
CLEM
MIA
ML
63% 22-13
63% 22-13
72% 23-9
64% 21-12
ATS
71% 25-10
63% 22-13
72% 23-9
64% 21-12
TTL
69% 24-11
63% 22-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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