SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
10-7 | Road
76
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
PANTHERSFIU
9-8 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
BEARKATS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
BEARKATS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Florida International)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FIU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)
SHSU By 1-7 points
15.3%
SHSU By 8-14 points
5.8%
FIU By 1-7 points
26.2%
FIU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Sam Houston
79
SAM HOUSTON
Florida International
86
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
Sam Houston
68
SAM HOUSTON
Florida International
74
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u169.0
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u169.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
FIU @ SHSU
67 - 100
Jan 17, 2026
SHSU @ FIU
76 - 63
Feb 6, 2025
SHSU @ FIU
82 - 85
Jan 11, 2025
FIU @ SHSU
74 - 81
Mar 13, 2024
FIU @ SHSU
59 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+294.1% more
Florida International: 4.7
vs
Sam Houston: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+26.3% more
Florida International: 9.1
vs
Sam Houston: 7.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Sam Houston: 39.6%
vs
Florida International: 33.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Sam Houston: 74.8%
vs
Florida International: 69.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SHSU Score
79.0
76
FIU Score
86.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 39.6
43.0 / 34.0
Assists
14.2 / 14.8
11.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.7 / 1.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 48.4
29.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 74.8
62.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 39.3
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.2
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.5
18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHSU
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
FIU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
FIU
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
SHSU
FIU
SHSU
ML
58%
18-13
55%
18-15
65%
20-11
74%
23-8
ATS
52%
16-15
64%
21-12
65%
20-11
74%
23-8
TTL
65%
20-11
48%
16-17
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
