WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
7-10 | Road
89
AKRON
ZIPSAKR
13-4 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
ZIPS
0%
BRONCOS
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
WMU By 1-7 points
1.4%
WMU By 8-14 points
0.2%
AKR By 1-7 points
6.8%
AKR By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Michigan
80
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Akron
101
AKRON
Simulated Score
Western Michigan
65
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Akron
75
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (-19.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o165.5
Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 17, 2026
AKR @ WMU
90 - 73
Jan 17, 2026
WMU @ AKR
89 - 104
Feb 11, 2025
WMU @ AKR
92 - 105
Mar 8, 2024
AKR @ WMU
84 - 90
Jan 16, 2024
WMU @ AKR
66 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.8% more
Akron: 3.2
vs
Western Michigan: 2.2
Steals (L5)
+31.4% more
Akron: 8.7
vs
Western Michigan: 6.6
Assists (L5)
+19.6% more
Akron: 18.3
vs
Western Michigan: 15.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Akron: 80.9%
vs
Western Michigan: 73.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WMU Score
80.0
89
AKR Score
101.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 36.1
57.0 / 46.0
Assists
18.3 / 15.3
23.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 46.9
57.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
80.9 / 73.8
89.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 37.1
31.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.6
8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 11.8
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
WMU
AKR
WMU
ML
71%
24-10
60%
18-12
65%
22-12
70%
21-9
ATS
76%
26-8
67%
20-10
65%
22-12
70%
21-9
TTL
59%
20-14
57%
17-13
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
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