Home / NHL Projections NHL / Rangers @ Flyers NYR @ PHI

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

20-22-6  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 1:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

22-16-8  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Urho Vaakanainen
GOALTENDER

Urho Vaakanainen

#18 | Defense
@
Aleksei Kolosov
GOALTENDER

Aleksei Kolosov

#35 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Urho Vaakanainen None-None -- -- --
Aleksei Kolosov None-None 21.38 0.000 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 21.38
-- Save % 0.000
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
FLYERS
0%
RANGERS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

30.9%

Flyers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

NYR By 1 goal

12.1%

NYR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

PHI By 1 goal

19.7%

PHI By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flyers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flyers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Rangers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 NYR @ PHI 6 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 PHI @ NYR 3 - 2
Jan 17, 2026 NYR @ PHI 6 - 3
Dec 20, 2025 PHI @ NYR 4 - 5
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ NYR 8 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +10.8% more
Philadelphia: 26.8 vs New York: 24.2
Takeaways (L5) +43.5% more
New York: 5.4 vs Philadelphia: 3.1
Power Play % (L5) +41.3%
New York: 51.4% vs Philadelphia: 10.1%
Hits (L5) +21.0% more
New York: 32.0 vs Philadelphia: 25.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 1.0 6
PHI Score 2.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.5 / 13.8 13.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 50.1 / 57.7 35.9 / 64.1
Hits 25.3 / 32.0 27.0 / 26.0
Power Play % 10.1 / 51.4 0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 26.8 / 24.2 28.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 3.1 / 5.4 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
70%MONEY30%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYR
PHI
NYR
ML
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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