Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Tigers USI @ TNST

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

4-13  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 4:30 PM ET
Gentry Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE STATE

TIGERSTNST

11-6  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-56.0
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +56.0 points (Southern Indiana)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 TigersTNST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

100.0%

Tigers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USI -56.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USI)

USI By 1-7 points

0.0%

USI By 8-14 points

0.0%

TNST By 1-7 points

0.0%

TNST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
97
SOUTHERN INDIANA
41
TENNESSEE STATE
Simulated Score
70
SOUTHERN INDIANA
75
TENNESSEE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Screaming Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Screaming Eagles (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -56.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 TNST @ USI 73 - 71
Jan 17, 2026 USI @ TNST 67 - 73
Mar 1, 2025 USI @ TNST 69 - 74
Dec 19, 2024 TNST @ USI 75 - 77
Mar 6, 2024 USI @ TNST 64 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +85.9% more
Tennessee State: 18.0 vs Southern Indiana: 9.7
Blocks (L5) +24.5% more
Tennessee State: 5.9 vs Southern Indiana: 4.7
Turnovers (L5) +16.0% more
Tennessee State: 11.4 vs Southern Indiana: 9.8
Field Goal % (L5) +13.4%
Tennessee State: 50.6% vs Southern Indiana: 37.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 97.0 67
TNST Score 41.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.6 / 31.1 29.0 / 35.0
Assists 18.0 / 9.7 12.0 / 7.0
Blocks 5.9 / 4.7 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.6 / 37.2 46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 62.3 71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 36.4 37.0 / 44.0
Steals 7.7 / 7.1 10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 9.8 5.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
TNST Advantage
23-10-0 (69.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
TNST Advantage
18-11-1 (62.1%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
TNST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNST
USI
TNST
USI
ML
52% 16-15
67% 20-10
63% 17-10
61% 17-11
ATS
68% 21-10
70% 21-9
64% 18-10
61% 17-11
TTL
52% 16-15
73% 22-8
100% 28-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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