Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Penguins @ Vikings YSU @ CLE

YOUNGSTOWN STATE

PENGUINSYSU

9-10  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 2:00 PM ET
Wolstein Center
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

5-14  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
📊
VIKINGS
100%
PENGUINS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Youngstown State)
PenguinsYSU (-3.5) 0 VikingsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Penguins Cover

90.3%

Vikings Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around YSU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YSU)

YSU By 1-7 points

18.6%

YSU By 8-14 points

26.8%

CLE By 1-7 points

6.8%

CLE By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
77
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
64
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
71
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
76
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Penguins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Penguins (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 CLE @ YSU 82 - 106
Jan 17, 2026 YSU @ CLE 78 - 80
Mar 10, 2025 YSU @ CLE 56 - 54
Feb 16, 2025 YSU @ CLE 68 - 60
Jan 11, 2025 CLE @ YSU 80 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +37.0% more
Youngstown State: 3.7 vs Cleveland State: 2.3
Steals (L5) +18.3% more
Youngstown State: 6.1 vs Cleveland State: 5.0
Rebounding (L5) +15.0% more
Youngstown State: 33.8 vs Cleveland State: 28.8
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
Cleveland State: 76.0% vs Youngstown State: 73.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
YSU Score 77.0 78
CLE Score 64.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 35.1 50.0 / 19.0
Assists 14.6 / 14.3 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.7 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 44.0 51.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 73.6 77.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 28.8 / 33.8 29.0 / 38.0
Steals 5.0 / 6.1 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 11.6 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
16%MONEY84%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YSU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -1.3
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YSU
10-18-1 (35.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -1.3
CLE Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +0.2
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
YSU
CLE
YSU
ML
52% 17-16
57% 17-13
64% 21-12
67% 20-10
ATS
64% 21-12
47% 14-16
64% 21-12
67% 20-10
TTL
52% 17-16
60% 18-12
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
aggieswire 4 days, 12 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 6 hours ago
WVU Lands Major Eligibility Boost: Lorient and Buchanan Cleared …
si 1 week, 1 day ago
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago