UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
12-5 | Road
74
OHIO STATE
BUCKEYESOSU
11-5 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
BUCKEYES
100%
BRUINS
--
BUCKEYES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (UCLA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCLA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)
UCLA By 1-7 points
13.7%
UCLA By 8-14 points
24.3%
OSU By 1-7 points
4.0%
OSU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UCLA
90
UCLA
Ohio State
74
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
UCLA
68
UCLA
Ohio State
72
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buckeyes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Buckeyes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
UCLA @ OSU
74 - 86
Feb 23, 2025
OSU @ UCLA
61 - 69
Dec 16, 2023
UCLA @ OSU
60 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.3% more
UCLA: 6.3
vs
Ohio State: 4.7
Rebounding (L5)
+17.4% more
Ohio State: 36.6
vs
UCLA: 31.2
Blocks (L5)
+17.2% more
Ohio State: 3.3
vs
UCLA: 2.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Ohio State: 33.1%
vs
UCLA: 30.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score
90.0
74
OSU Score
74.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 30.3
38.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.8 / 14.3
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.8
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 45.1
53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 80.9
84.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 31.2
37.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.3
1.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 10.5
10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
OSU
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 6.7
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
OSU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 6.7
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
UCLA
OSU
UCLA
ML
53%
18-16
67%
24-12
73%
24-9
76%
25-8
ATS
59%
20-14
61%
22-14
73%
24-9
76%
25-8
TTL
56%
19-15
61%
22-14
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
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