BYU
COUGARSBYU
16-1 | Road
71
TEXAS TECH
RED RAIDERSTTU
13-4 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
RED RAIDERS
100%
COUGARS
--
RED RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BYU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
BYU By 1-7 points
1.4%
BYU By 8-14 points
5.8%
TTU By 1-7 points
0.1%
TTU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
BYU
96
BYU
Texas Tech
67
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
BYU
72
BYU
Texas Tech
75
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Red Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
TTU @ BYU
76 - 82
Jan 17, 2026
BYU @ TTU
71 - 84
Jan 7, 2025
TTU @ BYU
72 - 67
Mar 14, 2024
BYU @ TTU
67 - 81
Jan 20, 2024
BYU @ TTU
78 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.1% more
BYU: 7.3
vs
Texas Tech: 4.8
Blocks (L5)
+14.4% more
BYU: 5.3
vs
Texas Tech: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+11.9% more
BYU: 11.9
vs
Texas Tech: 10.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.7%
BYU: 75.0%
vs
Texas Tech: 64.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BYU Score
96.0
71
TTU Score
67.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 30.1
38.0 / 23.0
Assists
19.3 / 15.4
14.0 / 5.0
Blocks
4.6 / 5.3
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 46.1
46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
64.3 / 75.0
83.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
40.6 / 44.4
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.8 / 7.3
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 11.9
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
TTU
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
TTU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
BYU
TTU
BYU
ML
62%
21-13
60%
21-14
71%
22-9
72%
23-9
ATS
65%
22-12
54%
19-16
71%
22-9
72%
23-9
TTL
59%
20-14
69%
24-11
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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