Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Golden Eagles MORE @ TNTC

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

8-10  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 4:00 PM ET
Hooper Eblen Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

7-11  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
EAGLES --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
MOREHEAD STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Morehead State)
EaglesMORE (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesTNTC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

99.8%

Golden Eagles Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MORE -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MORE)

MORE By 1-7 points

1.4%

MORE By 8-14 points

5.8%

TNTC By 1-7 points

0.1%

TNTC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
87
MOREHEAD STATE
58
TENNESSEE TECH
Simulated Score
65
MOREHEAD STATE
72
TENNESSEE TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 TNTC @ MORE 66 - 73
Jan 17, 2026 MORE @ TNTC 76 - 70
Jan 30, 2025 TNTC @ MORE 72 - 64
Jan 4, 2025 MORE @ TNTC 55 - 74
Feb 3, 2024 MORE @ TNTC 67 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +46.3% more
Morehead State: 16.1 vs Tennessee Tech: 8.6
Steals (L5) +31.7% more
Morehead State: 5.7 vs Tennessee Tech: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.0%
Morehead State: 35.4% vs Tennessee Tech: 24.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
Morehead State: 47.9% vs Tennessee Tech: 39.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MORE Score 87.0 76
TNTC Score 58.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.4 / 35.4 25.0 / 38.0
Assists 8.6 / 16.1 10.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.8 / 1.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.1 / 47.9 46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 67.2 / 75.6 68.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 33.7 32.0 / 39.0
Steals 3.9 / 5.7 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 11.2 8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MORE Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
TNTC
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
TNTC
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNTC
MORE
TNTC
MORE
ML
50% 15-15
62% 20-12
65% 15-8
68% 21-10
ATS
50% 15-15
59% 19-13
65% 15-8
68% 21-10
TTL
57% 17-13
53% 17-15
100% 23-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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