CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
19-21 | Road
109
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
11-27 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
NETS
100%
BULLS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
18.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
26.8%
BKN By 1-7 points
6.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
120
CHICAGO
Brooklyn
107
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Chicago
103
CHICAGO
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
CHI @ BKN
115 - 123
Jan 18, 2026
BKN @ CHI
102 - 124
Jan 16, 2026
CHI @ BKN
109 - 112
Dec 3, 2025
BKN @ CHI
113 - 103
Mar 13, 2025
BKN @ CHI
110 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Chicago: 30.3
vs
Brooklyn: 24.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.9%
Chicago: 80.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 70.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Chicago: 47.8%
vs
Brooklyn: 44.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Chicago: 35.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
120.0
109
BKN Score
107.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 35.6
47.0 / 31.0
Assists
24.1 / 30.3
30.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.9 / 5.1
4.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 47.8
43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 80.5
88.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
42.0 / 44.4
47.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.4
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 12.4
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CHI
BKN
CHI
ML
53%
50-45
56%
54-42
59%
48-34
57%
46-35
ATS
52%
48-44-3
65%
62-33-1
59%
48-34
57%
46-35
TTL
57%
54-41
58%
56-40
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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