Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Bisons BELL @ LIP

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

6-10  |  Road

71
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 8:00 PM ET
Allen Arena
View Odds Details →

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

10-7  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
📊
BISONS
0%
KNIGHTS --
BISONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Lipscomb)
KnightsBELL (-3.5) 0 BisonsLIP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

1.4%

Bisons Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIP -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

BELL By 1-7 points

1.1%

BELL By 8-14 points

0.1%

LIP By 1-7 points

5.8%

LIP By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
75
BELLARMINE
97
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
70
BELLARMINE
75
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bisons (-10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Bisons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 LIP @ BELL 75 - 72
Jan 15, 2026 BELL @ LIP 71 - 81
Feb 1, 2025 BELL @ LIP 80 - 87
Jan 16, 2025 LIP @ BELL 87 - 53
Feb 28, 2024 BELL @ LIP 74 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +53.2% more
Lipscomb: 2.6 vs Bellarmine: 1.7
Rebounding (L5) +20.6% more
Lipscomb: 34.0 vs Bellarmine: 28.2
Steals (L5) +16.2% more
Lipscomb: 5.4 vs Bellarmine: 4.6
Assists (L5) +11.6% more
Lipscomb: 18.3 vs Bellarmine: 16.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BELL Score 75.0 71
LIP Score 97.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.9 / 38.5 37.0 / 19.0
Assists 18.3 / 16.4 24.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.6 / 1.7 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 52.5 49.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 70.4 61.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.0 / 28.2 45.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.4 / 4.6 3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 10.6 12.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BELL
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BELL Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
BELL
LIP
BELL
ML
71% 22-9
72% 23-9
66% 19-10
94% 29-2
ATS
71% 22-9
72% 23-9
66% 19-10
94% 29-2
TTL
58% 18-13
50% 16-16
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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