Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Toreros @ Redhawks USD @ SEA

SAN DIEGO

TOREROSUSD

7-11  |  Road

64
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 10:00 PM ET
Redhawk Center
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE U

REDHAWKSSEA

12-6  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
TOREROS
0%
📊
REDHAWKS
100%
TOREROS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (San Diego)
TorerosUSD (-3.5) 0 RedhawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Toreros Cover

86.4%

Redhawks Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USD -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USD)

USD By 1-7 points

21.6%

USD By 8-14 points

27.4%

SEA By 1-7 points

9.3%

SEA By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
89
SAN DIEGO
78
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
72
SAN DIEGO
75
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Toreros Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Redhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Toreros (-9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Redhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 USD @ SEA 56 - 58
Jan 15, 2026 USD @ SEA 64 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +17.7% more
San Diego: 12.1 vs Seattle U: 10.0
Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
San Diego: 45.0% vs Seattle U: 37.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.8%
San Diego: 73.3% vs Seattle U: 66.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
San Diego: 34.9% vs Seattle U: 31.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USD Score 89.0 64
SEA Score 78.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 34.9 40.0 / 29.0
Assists 14.5 / 15.3 14.0 / 16.0
Blocks 5.0 / 1.7 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 37.6 / 45.0 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 66.5 / 73.3 68.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 29.6 33.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.3 / 7.9 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 12.1 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USD
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
SEA Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USD Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
SEA
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: +0.5
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
USD
SEA
USD
ML
46% 16-19
58% 19-14
71% 24-10
70% 23-10
ATS
57% 20-15
55% 18-15
71% 24-10
70% 23-10
TTL
49% 17-18
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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