SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
10-7 | Road
59
UT MARTIN
SKYHAWKSUTM
13-4 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
SKYHAWKS
0%
COUGARS
--
SKYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
UT MARTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (UT Martin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTM -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTM)
SIUE By 1-7 points
13.7%
SIUE By 8-14 points
4.8%
UTM By 1-7 points
25.3%
UTM By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
SIU Edwardsville
88
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
UT Martin
96
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
SIU Edwardsville
72
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
UT Martin
75
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Skyhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Skyhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o131.5
Loss
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
UTM @ SIUE
81 - 76
Jan 15, 2026
SIUE @ UTM
59 - 65
Feb 13, 2025
UTM @ SIUE
76 - 71
Jan 18, 2025
SIUE @ UTM
82 - 85
Feb 3, 2024
UTM @ SIUE
90 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.3% more
UT Martin: 5.0
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+27.2% more
UT Martin: 7.9
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 6.2
Rebounding (L5)
+11.2% more
UT Martin: 39.9
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 35.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.0%
UT Martin: 75.4%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 70.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score
88.0
59
UTM Score
96.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 39.6
25.0 / 17.0
Assists
10.3 / 13.7
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.0 / 3.5
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 43.2
38.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 70.3
65.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 35.9
47.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.2
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 13.9
11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
UTM
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
UTM
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
SIUE
UTM
SIUE
ML
69%
22-10
65%
20-11
69%
20-9
60%
18-12
ATS
56%
18-14
55%
17-14
69%
20-9
60%
18-12
TTL
44%
14-18
48%
15-16
100%
29-0
100%
30-0
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