UTEP
MINERSUTEP
5-11 | Road
70
DELAWARE
BLUE HENSDEL
5-11 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
0%
BLUE HENS
100%
MINERS
--
BLUE HENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (UTEP)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTEP -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)
UTEP By 1-7 points
24.3%
UTEP By 8-14 points
26.8%
DEL By 1-7 points
12.2%
DEL By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UTEP
62
UTEP
Delaware
53
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
UTEP
68
UTEP
Delaware
72
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Miners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Hens
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Miners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Blue Hens (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u125.5
Loss
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u125.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
DEL @ UTEP
55 - 70
Jan 15, 2026
UTEP @ DEL
70 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+19.3% more
UTEP: 6.2
vs
Delaware: 5.0
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
UTEP: 12.6
vs
Delaware: 11.0
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
UTEP: 35.1
vs
Delaware: 31.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
UTEP: 73.4%
vs
Delaware: 70.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score
62.0
70
DEL Score
53.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 31.3
45.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.1 / 10.9
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.1
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 37.7
41.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 73.4
71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 35.1
39.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.2
1.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.6
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
DEL
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
UTEP
DEL
UTEP
ML
45%
14-17
70%
21-9
52%
16-15
72%
21-8
ATS
61%
19-12
57%
17-13
52%
16-15
73%
22-8
TTL
65%
20-11
60%
18-12
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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