GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
10-8 | Road
88
CLEVELAND STATE
VIKINGSCLE
5-13 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
VIKINGS
0%
PHOENIX
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
CLEVELAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Cleveland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
GB By 1-7 points
0.0%
GB By 8-14 points
0.0%
CLE By 1-7 points
0.4%
CLE By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
58
GREEN BAY
Cleveland State
92
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
Green Bay
68
GREEN BAY
Cleveland State
72
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vikings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vikings (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
CLE @ GB
89 - 82
Jan 15, 2026
GB @ CLE
88 - 73
Jan 25, 2025
GB @ CLE
66 - 81
Dec 7, 2024
CLE @ GB
83 - 61
Feb 28, 2024
GB @ CLE
69 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+79.9% more
Cleveland State: 5.9
vs
Green Bay: 3.3
Blocks (L5)
+19.5% more
Cleveland State: 2.5
vs
Green Bay: 2.1
Turnovers (L5)
+18.2% more
Cleveland State: 13.2
vs
Green Bay: 11.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
Green Bay: 53.7%
vs
Cleveland State: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
58.0
88
CLE Score
92.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 41.6
37.0 / 50.0
Assists
15.4 / 15.0
13.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 53.7
49.0 / 58.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 73.0
79.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 34.3
19.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.9 / 3.3
3.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 11.2
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
CLE
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
CLE
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
GB
CLE
GB
ML
52%
17-16
48%
16-17
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
ATS
64%
21-12
52%
17-16
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
TTL
52%
17-16
58%
19-14
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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