RICE

OWLSRICE

7-10  |  Road

89
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 8:00 PM ET
UTSA Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

UTSA

ROADRUNNERSUTSA

4-12  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
📊
ROADRUNNERS
100%
OWLS --
ROADRUNNERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Rice)
OwlsRICE (-3.5) 0 RoadrunnersUTSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

100.0%

Roadrunners Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICE -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)

RICE By 1-7 points

0.0%

RICE By 8-14 points

0.2%

UTSA By 1-7 points

0.0%

UTSA By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
107
RICE
64
UTSA
Simulated Score
72
RICE
78
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Roadrunners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Owls (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim Roadrunners (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 UTSA @ RICE 71 - 80
Jan 14, 2026 RICE @ UTSA 89 - 73
Mar 2, 2025 RICE @ UTSA 56 - 84
Jan 14, 2025 UTSA @ RICE 90 - 84
Feb 3, 2024 RICE @ UTSA 80 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +16.1% more
Rice: 7.4 vs UTSA: 6.2
Rebounding (L5) +10.7% more
Rice: 37.8 vs UTSA: 33.7
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Rice: 71.6% vs UTSA: 66.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Rice: 38.5% vs UTSA: 34.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RICE Score 107.0 89
UTSA Score 64.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.0 / 27.6 29.0 / 52.0
Assists 10.2 / 9.1 7.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.4 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 34.9 / 38.5 44.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 66.3 / 71.6 85.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 37.8 32.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.2 / 7.4 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 11.2 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
9%MONEY91%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.4
UTSA
5-25-0 (16.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.4
UTSA
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.4
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.2