AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
ROADRUNNERS
100%
OWLS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICE -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
RICE By 1-7 points
0.0%
RICE By 8-14 points
0.2%
UTSA By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTSA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
107
RICE
UTSA
64
UTSA
Simulated Score
Rice
72
RICE
UTSA
78
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
UTSA @ RICE
71 - 80
Jan 14, 2026
RICE @ UTSA
89 - 73
Mar 2, 2025
RICE @ UTSA
56 - 84
Jan 14, 2025
UTSA @ RICE
90 - 84
Feb 3, 2024
RICE @ UTSA
80 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.1% more
Rice: 7.4
vs
UTSA: 6.2
Rebounding (L5)
+10.7% more
Rice: 37.8
vs
UTSA: 33.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
Rice: 71.6%
vs
UTSA: 66.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Rice: 38.5%
vs
UTSA: 34.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
107.0
89
UTSA Score
64.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.0 / 27.6
29.0 / 52.0
Assists
10.2 / 9.1
7.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
34.9 / 38.5
44.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 71.6
85.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 37.8
32.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.2 / 7.4
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 11.2
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
UTSA
5-25-0
(16.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
UTSA
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
RICE
UTSA
RICE
ML
83%
24-5
53%
16-14
48%
14-15
53%
16-14
ATS
72%
21-8
60%
18-12
50%
15-15
53%
16-14
TTL
66%
19-10
77%
23-7
100%
30-0
100%
30-0