LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
4-13 | Road
69
BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
5-12 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
0%
BISON
100%
LEOPARDS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
93.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUCK +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)
LAF By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAF By 8-14 points
16.9%
BUCK By 1-7 points
24.3%
BUCK By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Lafayette
47
LAFAYETTE
Bucknell
46
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Lafayette
69
LAFAYETTE
Bucknell
75
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Leopards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bison (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 93.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
BUCK @ LAF
79 - 81
Jan 14, 2026
LAF @ BUCK
69 - 76
Feb 15, 2025
BUCK @ LAF
75 - 69
Jan 8, 2025
LAF @ BUCK
62 - 65
Mar 2, 2024
LAF @ BUCK
50 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Lafayette: 41.4%
vs
Bucknell: 39.4%
Steals (L5)
+70.4% more
Bucknell: 8.4
vs
Lafayette: 4.9
Turnovers (L5)
+35.3% more
Bucknell: 13.8
vs
Lafayette: 10.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.7%
Bucknell: 74.3%
vs
Lafayette: 61.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAF Score
47.0
69
BUCK Score
46.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 28.4
55.0 / 41.0
Assists
13.5 / 14.0
15.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.7
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 41.4
51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 61.6
86.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 33.0
34.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.4 / 4.9
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 10.2
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
LAF
BUCK
LAF
ML
55%
18-15
53%
17-15
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
ATS
45%
15-18
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
TTL
61%
20-13
50%
16-16
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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