Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Highlanders @ Runnin' Bulldogs RAD @ GWEB

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

9-9  |  Road

89
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Paul Porter Arena
View Odds Details →

GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

2-16  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
📊
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
HIGHLANDERS --
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Radford)
HighlandersRAD (-3.5) 0 Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Highlanders Cover

99.7%

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RAD -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

RAD By 1-7 points

2.2%

RAD By 8-14 points

8.0%

GWEB By 1-7 points

0.3%

GWEB By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
99
RADFORD
72
GARDNER-WEBB
Simulated Score
68
RADFORD
72
GARDNER-WEBB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Highlanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Runnin' Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Highlanders (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Runnin' Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o167.0 Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim u167.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 GWEB @ RAD 70 - 82
Jan 14, 2026 RAD @ GWEB 89 - 80
Feb 26, 2025 RAD @ GWEB 63 - 56
Jan 15, 2025 GWEB @ RAD 75 - 79
Feb 22, 2024 RAD @ GWEB 90 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +28.7% more
Radford: 3.5 vs Gardner-Webb: 2.5
Free Throw % (L5) +18.6%
Radford: 75.9% vs Gardner-Webb: 57.3%
Assists (L5) +14.8% more
Radford: 12.6 vs Gardner-Webb: 10.7
Rebounding (L5) +11.0% more
Radford: 34.5 vs Gardner-Webb: 30.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RAD Score 99.0 89
GWEB Score 72.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 30.7 25.0 / 35.0
Assists 10.7 / 12.6 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.5 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.7 / 45.3 50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 57.3 / 75.9 81.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 30.7 / 34.5 30.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.4 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 10.0 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
GWEB Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GWEB
RAD
GWEB
RAD
ML
73% 22-8
77% 23-7
63% 19-11
76% 22-7
ATS
73% 22-8
63% 19-11
63% 19-11
77% 23-7
TTL
53% 16-14
67% 20-10
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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