Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Pelicans BKN @ NO

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

11-26  |  Road

113
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

9-33  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
PELICANS
100%
NETS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Brooklyn)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

61.8%

Pelicans Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

BKN By 1-7 points

27.2%

BKN By 8-14 points

20.1%

NO By 1-7 points

21.6%

NO By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
107
BROOKLYN
104
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
110
BROOKLYN
118
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pelicans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Nets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Pelicans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Sim u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 14, 2026 BKN @ NO 113 - 116
Dec 6, 2025 NO @ BKN 101 - 119
Apr 8, 2025 NO @ BKN 114 - 119
Nov 11, 2024 BKN @ NO 107 - 105
Mar 19, 2024 NO @ BKN 104 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.7% more
New Orleans: 16.6 vs Brooklyn: 14.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
New Orleans: 38.4% vs Brooklyn: 31.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
New Orleans: 48.9% vs Brooklyn: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 107.0 113
NO Score 104.0 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 31.3 33.0 / 37.0
Assists 25.1 / 24.2 24.0 / 24.0
Blocks 6.0 / 6.4 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 43.4 44.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 76.9 76.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 42.9 / 41.5 53.0 / 43.0
Steals 8.4 / 8.7 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 16.6 / 14.5 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
NO Advantage
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
BKN
NO
BKN
ML
62% 98-61
53% 50-45
58% 48-35
59% 48-34
ATS
68% 107-51-1
52% 48-44-3
58% 48-35
59% 48-34
TTL
75% 119-40
57% 54-41
100% 83-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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