PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
12-7 | Road
69
SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
14-5 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
BRONCOS
100%
TIGERS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Pacific)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PAC -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)
PAC By 1-7 points
2.2%
PAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
SCU By 1-7 points
0.3%
SCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Pacific
92
PACIFIC
Santa Clara
65
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
Pacific
65
PACIFIC
Santa Clara
78
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-12.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
PAC @ SCU
68 - 76
Feb 4, 2026
SCU @ PAC
71 - 56
Jan 14, 2026
PAC @ SCU
69 - 85
Mar 1, 2025
SCU @ PAC
97 - 66
Feb 1, 2025
PAC @ SCU
49 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+9.9% more
Pacific: 12.7
vs
Santa Clara: 11.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Pacific: 36.0%
vs
Santa Clara: 34.3%
Steals (L5)
+33.3% more
Santa Clara: 10.1
vs
Pacific: 7.6
Blocks (L5)
+13.5% more
Santa Clara: 3.0
vs
Pacific: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PAC Score
92.0
69
SCU Score
65.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 36.0
37.0 / 50.0
Assists
16.1 / 15.5
15.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.7
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 43.6
48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
81.2 / 79.8
89.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
39.2 / 41.8
24.0 / 34.0
Steals
10.1 / 7.6
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 12.7
7.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
SCU
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
PAC
SCU
PAC
ML
44%
15-19
45%
15-18
73%
22-8
80%
24-6
ATS
53%
18-16
55%
18-15
74%
23-8
80%
24-6
TTL
47%
16-18
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Miami's Bye Week Blueprint: Top Games to Scout for Week 6