AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
TERRIERS
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEH -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
LEH By 1-7 points
0.5%
LEH By 8-14 points
2.7%
BU By 1-7 points
0.0%
BU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
93
LEHIGH
Boston University
60
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Lehigh
68
LEHIGH
Boston University
72
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
BU @ LEH
60 - 74
Feb 22, 2026
BU @ LEH
67 - 70
Jan 14, 2026
LEH @ BU
93 - 91
Feb 26, 2025
BU @ LEH
79 - 68
Jan 15, 2025
LEH @ BU
58 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+45.0% more
Lehigh: 6.8
vs
Boston University: 3.8
Blocks (L5)
+28.6% more
Lehigh: 4.0
vs
Boston University: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+17.0% more
Lehigh: 12.2
vs
Boston University: 10.1
Assists (L5)
+18.8% more
Boston University: 16.9
vs
Lehigh: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
93.0
93
BU Score
60.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
50.2 / 39.6
38.0 / 46.0
Assists
16.9 / 14.3
18.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.0
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
54.7 / 45.1
53.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 75.9
81.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 32.3
37.0 / 30.0
Steals
3.8 / 6.8
1.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 12.2
11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
BU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
BU
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BU
LEH
BU
LEH
ML
68%
23-11
56%
19-15
62%
21-13
68%
23-11
ATS
62%
21-13
56%
19-15
62%
21-13
68%
23-11
TTL
65%
22-12
76%
26-8
100%
34-0
100%
34-0