Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Eagles HPU @ WIN

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

16-3  |  Road

75
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 6:30 PM ET
Winthrop Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

11-8  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
PANTHERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Winthrop)
PanthersHPU (-3.5) 0 EaglesWIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

6.7%

Eagles Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)

HPU By 1-7 points

4.8%

HPU By 8-14 points

1.1%

WIN By 1-7 points

15.3%

WIN By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
80
HIGH POINT
95
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
70
HIGH POINT
77
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 WIN @ HPU 76 - 91
Feb 21, 2026 WIN @ HPU 87 - 89
Jan 14, 2026 HPU @ WIN 75 - 92
Mar 9, 2025 WIN @ HPU 69 - 81
Feb 15, 2025 HPU @ WIN 88 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +12.7% more
Winthrop: 10.7 vs High Point: 9.5
Assists (L5) +30.3% more
High Point: 16.3 vs Winthrop: 11.4
Steals (L5) +30.1% more
High Point: 9.8 vs Winthrop: 6.9
Blocks (L5) +13.8% more
High Point: 4.8 vs Winthrop: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HPU Score 80.0 75
WIN Score 95.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.9 / 37.1 38.0 / 23.0
Assists 11.4 / 16.3 20.0 / 16.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.4 / 49.6 54.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 66.7 / 70.3 67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 46.3 / 43.3 39.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.9 / 9.8 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 9.5 9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
WIN
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
HPU
WIN
HPU
ML
70% 23-10
80% 28-7
79% 26-7
80% 28-7
ATS
79% 26-7
71% 25-10
79% 26-7
80% 28-7
TTL
58% 19-14
66% 23-12
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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