Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Pioneers ORU @ DEN

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-13  |  Road

87
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 9:00 PM ET
Hamilton Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

DENVER

PIONEERSDEN

8-11  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
PIONEERS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
PIONEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Denver)
Golden EaglesORU (-3.5) 0 PioneersDEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

2.9%

Pioneers Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)

ORU By 1-7 points

2.2%

ORU By 8-14 points

0.4%

DEN By 1-7 points

9.3%

DEN By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
55
ORAL ROBERTS
74
DENVER
Simulated Score
77
ORAL ROBERTS
68
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pioneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pioneers (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 DEN @ ORU 80 - 102
Jan 14, 2026 ORU @ DEN 87 - 98
Feb 19, 2025 ORU @ DEN 60 - 71
Jan 23, 2025 DEN @ ORU 70 - 68
Feb 3, 2024 DEN @ ORU 76 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +12.5% more
Denver: 35.7 vs Oral Roberts: 31.8
Free Throw % (L5) +10.3%
Denver: 79.9% vs Oral Roberts: 69.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Denver: 46.0% vs Oral Roberts: 41.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Denver: 33.0% vs Oral Roberts: 30.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORU Score 55.0 87
DEN Score 74.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 30.0 50.0 / 31.0
Assists 11.2 / 12.4 10.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.0 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.0 / 41.2 54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 69.5 85.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 31.8 34.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.6 / 6.5 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 12.1 9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
DEN Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
DEN Advantage
17-11-1 (60.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +7.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
ORU
DEN
ORU
ML
56% 18-14
85% 28-5
59% 19-13
73% 24-9
ATS
66% 21-11
82% 27-6
59% 19-13
73% 24-9
TTL
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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