Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Hurricane @ 49ers TLSA @ CLT

TULSA

GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA

13-3  |  Road

86
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Halton Arena
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

9-8  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
📊
49ERS
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Charlotte)
Golden HurricaneTLSA (-3.5) 0 49ersCLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Hurricane Cover

21.2%

49ers Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)

TLSA By 1-7 points

13.7%

TLSA By 8-14 points

4.8%

CLT By 1-7 points

25.3%

CLT By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
77
TULSA
85
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
69
TULSA
73
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 49ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim 49ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 CLT @ TLSA 74 - 79
Jan 14, 2026 TLSA @ CLT 86 - 74
Jan 12, 2025 CLT @ TLSA 63 - 69
Feb 24, 2024 CLT @ TLSA 67 - 69
Jan 10, 2024 TLSA @ CLT 76 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.5% more
Charlotte: 4.5 vs Tulsa: 3.4
Assists (L5) +8.3% more
Charlotte: 14.0 vs Tulsa: 12.9
Free Throw % (L5) +10.1%
Tulsa: 80.2% vs Charlotte: 70.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score 77.0 86
CLT Score 85.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 37.2 33.0 / 48.0
Assists 14.0 / 12.9 8.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.4 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 47.2 47.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 70.1 / 80.2 88.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 35.0 22.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.8 / 6.0 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 11.7 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA Advantage
30-8-0 (79.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
CLT
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA Advantage
20-15-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.8
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
TLSA
CLT
TLSA
ML
62% 21-13
66% 25-13
67% 22-11
64% 23-13
ATS
68% 23-11
74% 28-10
67% 22-11
64% 23-13
TTL
65% 22-12
58% 22-16
100% 33-0
100% 36-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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