Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Explorers @ Spiders LAS @ RICH

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

5-12  |  Road

53
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Robins Center
View Odds Details →

RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

12-5  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
100%
📊
SPIDERS
0%
EXPLORERS --
SPIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Richmond)
ExplorersLAS (-3.5) 0 SpidersRICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Explorers Cover

0.0%

Spiders Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RICH -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)

LAS By 1-7 points

0.0%

LAS By 8-14 points

0.0%

RICH By 1-7 points

0.3%

RICH By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
55
LA SALLE
90
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
69
LA SALLE
76
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spiders (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim Spiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 14, 2026 LAS @ RICH 53 - 74
Feb 19, 2025 RICH @ LAS 63 - 58
Feb 10, 2024 LAS @ RICH 65 - 82
Feb 15, 2023 RICH @ LAS 62 - 68
Feb 12, 2022 LAS @ RICH 63 - 77
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.4%
Richmond: 44.2% vs La Salle: 28.8%
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
Richmond: 14.3 vs La Salle: 12.6
Rebounding (L5) +9.7% more
Richmond: 34.3 vs La Salle: 31.2
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
Richmond: 75.5% vs La Salle: 67.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAS Score 55.0 53
RICH Score 90.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.2 / 28.8 42.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.3 / 12.6 15.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.6 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 43.9 49.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 75.5 / 67.0 71.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 31.2 38.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.9 / 8.7 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.1 / 10.2 6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
RICH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
RICH Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
LAS
RICH
LAS
ML
53% 17-15
69% 22-10
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
ATS
44% 14-18
78% 25-7
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
TTL
56% 18-14
66% 21-11
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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