TEMPLE
OWLSTEM
11-5 | Road
53
MEMPHIS
TIGERSMEM
7-8 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
TIGERS
100%
OWLS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEM -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
TEM By 1-7 points
8.0%
TEM By 8-14 points
18.6%
MEM By 1-7 points
1.7%
MEM By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Temple
88
TEMPLE
Memphis
68
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Temple
65
TEMPLE
Memphis
78
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
TEM @ MEM
53 - 55
Feb 9, 2025
TEM @ MEM
82 - 90
Jan 16, 2025
MEM @ TEM
81 - 88
Feb 8, 2024
MEM @ TEM
84 - 77
Feb 12, 2023
TEM @ MEM
77 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.5% more
Temple: 5.3
vs
Memphis: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Temple: 73.5%
vs
Memphis: 64.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Temple: 39.8%
vs
Memphis: 34.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+71.4% more
Memphis: 15.9
vs
Temple: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEM Score
88.0
53
MEM Score
68.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 39.8
25.0 / 11.0
Assists
14.9 / 13.3
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.3
9.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 43.8
34.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
64.6 / 73.5
60.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 33.6
35.0 / 41.0
Steals
10.5 / 7.5
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 9.3
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
MEM
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
MEM
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
TEM
MEM
TEM
ML
62%
20-12
62%
20-12
68%
21-10
67%
20-10
ATS
62%
20-12
56%
18-14
68%
21-10
67%
20-10
TTL
66%
21-11
69%
22-10
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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