VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
21-11-12 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
19-16-10 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 2.99 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.99
--
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
KINGS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around LA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)
VGK By 1 goal
12.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
9.3%
LA By 1 goal
19.7%
LA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
LA @ VGK
1 - 4
Jan 14, 2026
VGK @ LA
3 - 2
Oct 8, 2025
LA @ VGK
6 - 5
Sep 23, 2025
LA @ VGK
3 - 1
Mar 9, 2025
LA @ VGK
6 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+22.1% more
Vegas: 5.4
vs
Los Angeles: 4.2
Hits (L5)
+8.1% more
Vegas: 21.8
vs
Los Angeles: 20.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.0
3
LA Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 12.6
13.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
47.5 / 46.4
56.8 / 43.2
Hits
20.1 / 21.8
24.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
32.2 / 31.0
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
27.1 / 27.8
24.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 5.4
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
VGK
LA
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
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