WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
4-13 | Road
55
EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
6-10 | Home
57
AI Model Win Probability
LEATHERNECKS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
LEATHERNECKS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EIU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)
WIU By 1-7 points
5.8%
WIU By 8-14 points
1.4%
EIU By 1-7 points
16.9%
EIU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Illinois
65
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Eastern Illinois
79
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Western Illinois
69
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Eastern Illinois
73
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 10, 2026
EIU @ WIU
70 - 79
Jan 13, 2026
WIU @ EIU
55 - 57
Jan 30, 2025
EIU @ WIU
71 - 59
Jan 4, 2025
WIU @ EIU
75 - 67
Feb 29, 2024
EIU @ WIU
66 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+139.5% more
Eastern Illinois: 15.6
vs
Western Illinois: 6.5
Blocks (L5)
+58.9% more
Eastern Illinois: 3.0
vs
Western Illinois: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+54.3% more
Eastern Illinois: 9.1
vs
Western Illinois: 5.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.2%
Eastern Illinois: 36.6%
vs
Western Illinois: 26.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIU Score
65.0
55
EIU Score
79.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 26.5
11.0 / 13.0
Assists
15.6 / 6.5
11.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.9
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 38.9
37.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 65.9
78.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 32.8
36.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.1 / 5.9
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 13.7
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
EIU
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIU
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
WIU
EIU
WIU
ML
56%
18-14
45%
14-17
74%
23-8
61%
19-12
ATS
50%
16-16
52%
16-15
74%
23-8
61%
19-12
TTL
69%
22-10
45%
14-17
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
