Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Tigers BC @ CLEM

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

7-9  |  Road

50
FINAL
Tue, Jan 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Littlejohn Coliseum
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

14-3  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
EAGLES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Clemson)
EaglesBC (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

24.2%

Tigers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLEM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

BC By 1-7 points

15.3%

BC By 8-14 points

5.8%

CLEM By 1-7 points

26.2%

CLEM By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
63
BOSTON COLLEGE
70
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
69
BOSTON COLLEGE
77
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 13, 2026 BC @ CLEM 50 - 74
Mar 5, 2025 CLEM @ BC 78 - 69
Mar 13, 2024 BC @ CLEM 76 - 55
Jan 13, 2024 BC @ CLEM 78 - 89
Jan 31, 2023 CLEM @ BC 54 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +42.6% more
Clemson: 6.8 vs Boston College: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5) +12.8%
Clemson: 73.3% vs Boston College: 60.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
Clemson: 46.9% vs Boston College: 39.8%
Blocks (L5) +56.5% more
Boston College: 3.2 vs Clemson: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BC Score 63.0 50
CLEM Score 70.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 33.6 42.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.6 / 11.3 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.4 / 3.2 4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 39.8 46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 60.5 70.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 34.3 35.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.8 / 4.7 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 10.1 10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
CLEM Advantage
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
BC
CLEM
BC
ML
63% 22-13
61% 19-12
72% 23-9
61% 17-11
ATS
71% 25-10
73% 22-8-1
72% 23-9
61% 17-11
TTL
69% 24-11
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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